Opinion Poll: PM Modi likely to win Lok Sabha polls, may get second term
Updated On : 13 Mar 2019,01:02 PM
The BJP-led NDA government is likely to retain power at the Centre, riding the “Modi wave”, and is expected to win 270 of the 543 seats in the highly anticipated Lok Sabha elections, according to opinion poll conducted by News Nation on Monday. On the other hand, the Congress, despite being buoyant after the victories in Assembly polls in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, will be able to win only 134 seats (with its partners) while others are expected to win 139 seats.
Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress is expected to win 29 of the 42 Lok Sabha seats in West Bengal. On the other hand, the BJP, which had won only 2 seats in 2014, is likely to win nine seats this time.
The alliance between Samajwadi Party, Bahujan Samaj Party and RLD is expected to dent the BJP’s sentiments in Uttar Pradesh. The SP-BSP-RLD alliance is expected to win 43 seats, while the NDA may win 35 seats. The Congress is expected to win two seats.
The BJP is expected to see a downfall in its performance in the national capital as compared to the 2014 Lok Sabha elections. The saffron party is likely to win four seats while the AAP may win on remaining three seats.
The BJP is expected to continue its dominance in Narendra Modi’s home state in the upcoming elections. However, the seat share may see a downfall as compared to the 2014 Lok Sabha polls when the saffron party had won on all 26 seats. According to the opinion poll, the BJP is expected to win 21 seats while the Congress may claim victory on five seats.
The BJP restoring ties with the Shiv Sena is likely to benefit it in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections in Maharashtra. According to the opinion poll, the NDA is likely to win 33 seats while the Congress-NCP alliance may win only 15 seats.
In Madhya Pradesh – another Hindi heartland state which the BJP lost to the Congress last year – the likely to win 21 of the 29 seats, while the Congress may win only 8 seats.
Despite losing the state to the Congress in last year’s assembly polls, the saffron party is expected to outshine the Grand Old Party in the Lok Sabha polls. According to the opinion poll, the BJP is expected to win 17 of the 25 seats while the Congress may claim victory on the remaining eight seats.
In Tamil Nadu, BJP’s alliance with AIADMK, PMK and DMDK is expected to win it 15 seats (38 per cent vote share). On the other hand, the UPA is likely to win 24 seats with 41 per cent vote share.
In Chhattisgarh, the BJP-led NDA is expected to win 5 seats (41 per cent vote share) while the UPA may claim victory on 6 seats (with vote share of 42 per cent). The BJP shockingly lost the state to the Congress in 2018 Assembly elections as it was former’s stronghold for 15 years.